Politic News Report:Four weeks still! The US election campaign, which has been in full swing for more than a year, is heading for the final. And one question is above all: Has Donald Trump, the demagogue, the populist, the desperado among the candidates, still have a chance against the supple and all-washed Hillary Clinton?..
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| For the candidate of the Republicans, Donald Trump, it is currently not exactly optimal in the US election campaign. |
Politic News Report:
Four weeks still! The US election campaign, which has been in full swing for more than a year, is heading for the final. And one question is above all: Has Donald Trump, the demagogue, the populist, the desperado among the candidates, still have a chance against the supple and all-washed Hillary Clinton?
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Last weekend, after a suddenly scandalized video scandal, he emerged suddenly after the second TV-duel with Clinton again.
Trump stands before Hercules task
"Too early pleased," the Trump camp cheered with a look at the opponents. Trumps trailers saw themselves as safe winners of the red slaughter spiked with mutual blows. However, with a little distance the view is clear: Trump stands in the remaining 28 days to the Urnengang before a barely Herkulesaufgabe. His candidacy is on fire.
The polls are clearly behind him, the youngest on behalf of NBC and the "Wall Street Journal" by 14 points. The very American effect of being happy with the winner speaks clearly for Clinton. It operates in all major federal states. Ascending trend. More importantly, however, Trump must lead the fight against Clinton without the full support of his party.
Leading Republicans deny their support
While for Clinton hearses of helpers, Trump hesitates, doubts and hesitations. Incarnation of fickleness is the governor of the important Swing States New Jersey, Chris Christie. Once he had himself presided with presidential fantasies, he later surrendered as a faithful Trump-fellow, apparently in the hope of a reward after the election day. Christie still supports Trump. But his sexist manifestations - which must now be really rejected - he let the nation know on Monday.
"Despite a landslide in the second debate (...), it is difficult to be good if Paul Ryan and others give zero support," wrote an angry Trump on Monday on his favorite Twitter platform, not only to the chairman The House of Representatives and strong man in the party establishment. According to reports, a somewhat harmonious telephone conference was held by leading Republicans.
Distancing only from calculus?
Ryan had announced that he would no longer support Trump's election campaign. With him, further deputies, senators, governors of the Republicans, to the demand for Trump to drop the candidacy. Officially, they are disgusted by the sexist, anti-womenish, somehow rather foolish utterances that Trump 2005 had given away, not knowing that he was talking on tape.
But it is also the same people within the Grand Old Party, which had found weeks ago trumps failures against foreigners, disabled as well as against women not so bad. Commentators are therefore comparatively unanimous: the withdrawal movement among the Republicans is less due to concern for the existence of women's rights, but rather to the naked fear of party soldiers on the one hand and ice-cold calculus on the other.
Republicans are already preparing for the 2020 election
In the upper floors of the party the electoral campaign 2020 has long been formed. The Republicans see a good chance to get back on the throne with a suitable candidate Hillary Clinton in four years. The map of the mid-term 2018 elections sees the Republicans clearly in the Congress and Senate, with a strategically oriented opposition policy, the chances are more than good to make Hillary Clinton's presidency an episode instead of an era.
In the establishment of the party, the question arises: Why should one clump the Trump, with all its risks and uncertainties, at all on its own leg? Paul Ryan, but also vice-presidential candidate Mike Pence and the eternally-tingled Texan Ted Cruz, are said to be ambitions.
Republicans are very siegessicher
But first of all the election day must go into the country on the 8th of November. And since the Democrats are cheering not only because of the current good news from Hillary Clinton. "We are very relaxed," says the New York Senator Chuck Schumer's office. They are comparatively certain that they can "reverse" the four seats they need for a majority in the second chamber, which is occupied by 100 parliamentarians.
Optimists among the Democrats are already talking about what has been practically prohibited by a prohibition of thinking: a democratic majority in the House of Representatives after 8 November. If this were to happen, Clinton could be at least two years' senior management and be able to take over important levers, for example, when appointing the highest judges.
What voters are you fighting for?
Because this danger has also been recognized by the Republican candidates, they are involved in a dangerous wire-rope act: they distance themselves from Trump in order not to be pulled into the downswing by the candidates, who are also perceived as impossible by many Republican voters.
Problem: Trump has his core affair, which forgives him the failures, yes, she even approves. His appearance at the second television duel, where he gave the ever-increasing aggressor, was precisely addressed to this group. He is not a politician, he says, what comes to his mind and that is what one guesses. The voices of these people also need the Republican senators and Congress delegates to keep their seats.
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